GTA
home sales rose 8.5% year-over-year in September, with 5,592
transactions reported through TRREB’s MLS® System. New listings also
increased by 4%, signaling growing market activity. Buyers are
responding to lower borrowing costs and increased inventory by
negotiating prices downward, encouraged by the recent interest rate cut
and expectations of another by year-end.
Despite
the uptick, sales remain below long-term averages. A further rate cut
could boost buyer confidence and stimulate economic activity, with each
real estate transaction injecting over $80,000 into the economy.
The
condo rental market continues to stabilize, with demand outpacing
supply. Lease transactions rose faster than listings, which were up just
4%. Active listings dropped 7%, and average rents hit $2,668 — still
down from previous years, but five-year growth remains positive at 3.6%.
Resale
condos are firmly in buyer’s market territory, with sales-to-new
listings at 33% and months of supply at 6.7. Prices fell 5%
year-over-year to $642,195 — the lowest since January 2021. However,
long-term price growth remains solid at 5.6% annually.
Presale
prices are becoming more attractive, with the premium narrowing to 18%.
As completions peak and future supply tightens, rent growth may
accelerate. A further 5–7% price adjustment and additional rate cuts
could revive investor interest and shift focus to end-users.
PROPERTY TRENDS
Townhouses: Sales up 39.2% YoY in Toronto’s core—space-conscious buyers are flocking in.
Turnkey Homes: Modern, move-in-ready listings are selling fast; dated homes are lagging.
Condos: Prices dipped, but inventory remains high—buyers have time and leverage
Looking Ahead
As
2025 winds down, the GTA housing market shows signs of stabilizing.
Lower rates, steady employment, and renewed buyer confidence could help
sales rebound toward historical norms in 2026.
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